Year-in-Advance ???

I was looking at my "Year-in-Advance" predictions just now, and boy did I go wrong. Just like in the rest of my predictions this year 'round, I did worse than last year. Last year I went 8 for 40 in my Year-in-Advancers (not exactly good, but compared to this year...). This year I picked just 2 out of 40 - Brokeback for Screenplay and Phoenix for Actor - although I did have some "close" calls with picks like Russell Crowe, Ziyi Zhang and Walk the Line for BP. A few of my predix were films that ended up being postponed til 2006 (including four of my five Best Supporting Actress choices) - most notably was Benecio Del Toro for Che and several nods for All the King's Men (two films that will find their way onto my 2006 Year-in-Advance Predix when I create that on March 5th). And, with this coming 2006 Oscar Predix, I will go ahead and pick for all the categories instead of just the "Big 8" - well, at least most categories (I think I'll leave the short subjects out until later in the year).

My Prediction Rate for this year is now at 169/297 [or 57%] - up 9% from before the Oscar Nominations were announced, but still 7% below the 64% I was at last year at this point. My final Prediction rate last year (post Oscar Broadcast) was 177/273 [or 65%]. In order to best that this year, I will have to pull off a...well, I can't (mathematically speaking). Even a perfect score on March 5th will only get me to 60% for the year. Ah well, there is always next year - plus I am still planning on defending my title as Oscar Predix Champ at our annual Oscar Party.